Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Dilbert Wouldn't Vote for Trump.

Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert, is going to explain to listeners of BBC radio, today, why Americans will vote for Donald Trump.


Adams seems to believe that a majority of Americans have been easily duped by Trump, the P.T. Barnum, the Professor Harold Hill, of modern politics.


In his blog, Adams has alternately said that 1) he doesn't care who wins the presidency; 2) that Hillary Clinton won't because she is sick, or on drugs (he's not a doctor, nor has he attended medical school, nor has he actually met Hillary Clinton); 3) that Donald Trump will win; and finally, after losing millions of dollars in speaking fees, 4) that he endorses Gary Johnson.


He backhandedly admits that he is taking that last position to avoid further damage to the Dilbert brand, the loveable engineer that he's carelessly associated with Trump support. 


But the damage is done.


In addition to blowing this "pay no attention to the cartoonist behind the curtain" smoke, Scott Adams subjects his readers to a psychological manipulation in every blog post.


At the end of each of his posts, he suggests you buy his book(s), and includes a link to the item.


And each statement is a model of a psychological persuasion tool. Like the "because they drink tea" line in this one today.   He uses this one a lot.


Experiments have shown that people will often do what you ask if you just use the word "because" in your request. (See, Influence, by Robert Cialdini).


The reason you give doesn't need to make sense. It just has to be stated following a "because." Adams relies on you being unaware of this technique. And he probably has a chart showing him which manipulative techniques he uses get the best results.


"Welcome to my laboratory, rats.", he might say to himself each time he writes a post.


I've loved Dilbert for years. I've read three of Adams's books. But I can't stomach what appears to be his Big Bang Theory Sheldon Cooper-like concept of voters'  intelligence.


He ought to review Pre-Suasion, also by Robert Cialdini, the Godfather of psychological persuasion techniques.


If Adams did see that volume, he'd recognize that he has poisoned the susceptibility of a big part of his audience by injecting Trump into his conversations.


The readers' virtual arms are crossed and their heads tilted back before they even start to read.


If they even do read any more. 








Friday, September 30, 2016

GOP Congressmen Hate Hillary More Than They Fear Putin

If you're kissing Putin's bottom and you leave orange colored lip marks, then Paul Ryan forgives you.


If your words and deeds show that your personal interests are more aligned with a devious dictator than those of the United States of America, but you aren't Hillary Clinton, then Mitch McConnell will protect you.


Blind, off the tracks, dingey dogs would be better leaders of the GOP in Congress.


Don't take my word for it. Check out this article from the Daily Beast:GOP Blocks Probes into Trump Putin Ties

Thursday, September 15, 2016

Is Your Garage Full of Stuff? Uh-Oh.

I read yesterday in the Daily Pfennig that the typical American saves .8% of their income.


.8%.


That is 8/10ths of 1/100th of their income.


Simply put, just about one penny for every dollar earned is saved. Ben Franklin weeps.


Heck you can pick a dime's worth of pennies off the ground at any gas station and you'd be doing better than many people are in an hour.


In the 60s, the family savings rate was 17%. Seventeen cents from every dollar. $1.70 saved for every ten dollars earned; $17 per $100.


Can you guess what happened? You know. It's obvious, actually. It was sucked up by clever, effective marketing.


Since the 60s, Americans have purchased untold amounts of stuff instead of saving money to live on. Why? Because they were told by an insidious and powerful advertising industry that wealthy, happy people bought lots of shiny watches, clothes, cars, boats, folding chairs, power tools, stainless steel refrigerators, and granite countertops. Marketers convinced a generation and a half that if they bought those things, then they would be rich and happy.


Instead of filling their lives with security, ease, and happiness, people have filled their garages with junk.


Floor to ceiling things and the nagging realization that all that garage fodder represents what could have been their "fuck you" money.


While they don't have financial freedom, mortgage free homes, or lien-less cars, they can have epic garage sales that net them a pitiful fraction of what they spent on the cast off stuff they listlessly sell. 


"Not to worry about negative returns on my savings, I'll have a garage sale and make money!"


My stomach turns.


Americans have little concern about negative interest rates. They are immune to them.


They've been living with negative returns on their purchases for decades now. Buy! Buy! Buy! Who profits? The seller and the credit card issuer. Who loses? The buyer/borrower.


There is no financial return on a new shirt that is just like the shirt you already have. A new watch tells time the same as an old one.


You can't up and quit your crappy job because you just bought your 100th pair of shoes. They won't pay your bills.


You are stuck.


It is easy to guess who has money in your neighborhood, or any neighborhood. Drive down any street around dinner-time and see who has a garage filled with stuff.


If there are one or more cars parked outside in the driveway because the garage is filled with stacks of this and that, then those residents probably have little financial depth.


On the other hand, the families with nothing but cars, bicycles and garbage cans in their garage — you can safely bet that they have money in the bank.


Shoppers go broke. Savers live happily. Check out these statistics in this article and see if you recognize yourself.


And if you do, then you might want to skip the next big sale — and have one of your own. 





Friday, August 26, 2016

Trump's Campaign Chairman is All About Voter Fraud

Trump is not fit to be president of a condo association, much less the US.


He can't choose his positions, his words, or his personnel.


Trump's Breitbart-covered campaign-chair beat his wife and lied on his current voter registration.


https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/aug/26/steve-bannon-florida-registered-vote-donald-trump

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Snakes in the grass

The heat wave of 90 plus weather is breaking over Ohio.

The still air started moving. Like going from a still pot to a boil.

Swirling currents are blowing to and fro.

Snakes in the yard are reluctant to be moved from their resting spots. They want no part of searching for a new place to hunker down.

Change is blowing in. Just in time.

Wednesday, August 3, 2016

Friday, July 15, 2016

Revulsed by Turkey's crackpot dictator the military stages a coup. Good luck!

https://www.yahoo.com/news/turkish-military-attempted-coup-prime-201213836.html Turkish military in attempted coup, prime minister says

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Pick your poison, I mean President.


You are told you are being given a choice of three poisons. You may choose only one.

There is no doubt that two of the three choices will be horrible. The third option may be just as bad, or it may not.  

The poisons are so powerful that the one you pick will affect your life and the lives of your children. Maybe even your grandchildren.

The decision has to be made in a moment, but only after a long series of factual investigations, comparisons, television commercials, and the inevitably slanted articles about the choices.

But just the two awful alternatives are thoroughly investigated. And none of the information about them makes either appear a lesser evil. They are both undeniably distasteful.

The third is not unknown, but it is not so intensely reviewed as the others.

If you take this third choice, you may end up as injured as with one of the others, but, unlike the others, there is a chance that this option will not hurt you; and it may even help—for a long time.  

What do you do?

Sunday, July 3, 2016

What if humans have come and gone?

Following the video in my last post, I ask "What if civilization has come and gone, several times?" Given the time scale, it's an outcome with a more than tiny probability.

Nothing new under the sun, right?

What Would Happen If Humans Disappeared?


Friday, June 24, 2016

Brexit experts run for cover

For over two weeks, talking heads on financial TV have been poo-pooing the mere hint that the UK would decide to leave the sweaty clutches of the EU. They said the #Brexit would not happen. Too much pain would ensue, they said.


Ha ha.


The British people, sick of the massive influx of middle eastern rabble rousers and economic regulatory overreach from Brussels defied all odds and said "See you mates" to Europe proper.


Congratulations to the leave group. I hope you get what you wish for. To the stay group I'd say the UK has been around for a long time. It isn't going anywhere soon. Keep a stiff upper lip.


People all over the world are sick of the soul-crushing status quo. The political class everywhere has become too fat and complacent. It is blind to how its actions affect real people and businesses every day. Negative interest rates for example. Who do those serve? Big banks and government borrowers. Not you and me.


How can a person like you, who just wants to put some money aside for a safe return, survive on interest of .1% a year? To hell with the status quo.


When you empower people to make rules, that is what they will do. The impact of the rule is far less important to the paid law-maker than setting down the law in the first place. When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.


It is truly time to sharply limit the parliaments, the congresses and the politburos. I say they see themselves as licensed to enrich themselves without working, all at the expense of the invisible taxpayer. They should all be reduced to unpaid, part time volunteers. Cover their expenses for 4 meetings a year and that's it. We'd see a dramatic reduction in wasteful, ignorant spending.


The experts were wrong because they are in the same translucent thought bubble as the rule makers. Everyone says the same thing to each other until it seems undeniable. At least in that bubble.


Brexit shows us that things are much clearer outside the bubble the experts and the law makers live in. Bravo to the UK. Bravo.



Sunday, June 12, 2016

Feeling good about giving money away.


A member of the stewardship committee for Dayton, Ohio's Annunciation Greek Orthodox church asked me to write about what stewardship (I dislike the word – a lot) means to me. I said "Sure." This is what I wrote:
We give freely to those we love.

And when we give to the church, we aren’t giving to a priest or to the building, but rather to the church family we care about our loved ones.

Don’t we all take great pleasure in the thought of giving? We don’t give gifts with the expectation of getting something in return. No. Of course not. We do it because we feel joy when we make our family and friends happy.

Isn’t giving grand?

One of my favorite sayings is “Cast thy bread upon the waters, for you shall find it after many days …” That’s from the Book of Ecclesiastes. It has passed my lips many times over the years. I have found it true, and have seen that the universe, God, fortune, whatever, rewards genuine generosity as a matter of course.

For instance, in times of slow income or a depleted bank account, I give more away; to the church or to a charitable cause. And what invariably happens? More than I gave comes back! And usually quite quickly.

It’s as if the heavens recognize the difficulty of giving despite the real fear of not having enough, and they open up the spigots to return the favor.

Recall those times when you were asked for or volunteered to help. Was there a downside to saying yes? No. You gave freely, made someone else’s life easier or better, and you got to feel good about giving. It was a win-win every time, wasn’t it?

When we give to the church, we are giving to our friends and families. As I write a check or put in festival time, I think of Pete and Trina, Debbie and John, Helen, Tom, Dori, Angela, Nick, and Carrie, and of all the children that I can’t believe are growing up so fast. I give to the church because they love the church and I love all of them.

That’s a win-win. That’s stewardship.


Thursday, June 9, 2016

Thursdays

Trivia nights at the Back Door bar in Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan used to be my Thursday high point. That was more than 20 years ago. When I think about it I can picture my boozy but very bright friends. We'd go to the bar for trivia, win the contest and its $25 prize and then drink it all back, laughing and joking, and dancing with pretty girls.


Good times.


Now Thursday means the release of the BLS's weekly first-time claims for unemployment report and not much more.


Today, June 9, 2016, the unemployment claims fell by 6000. That positive weekly rate follows last week's alarmingly petite U.S. jobs report.


What does it mean? I don't know. But something is amiss.


My teen daughter has been looking for work at some local outlets and malls. She has talked to store employees and they are mad. The retailers work them past their expected hours and won't give them the flexible time they need, but were told they'd get. One former Nike store employee, a friend of my daughter's, told of requesting two weeks off in July. They asked for the time in the preceding November, eight months earlier. When the vacation time approached, the manager told the young man that he couldn't have the time off because "we have a business to run." Understandably the 16-year old quit. How could the store be so thinly staffed? Hmm.

A different store employee receiving my daughter's application said "Finally!" Again, the employee told my girl that work conditions were demanding and difficult, hardly worth the minimum wage pay. Nobody wanted a job there.


Maybe the latest government reports can be explained by these anecdotes. Workers are only able to get low paying, slave-like jobs because they are the only kinds of jobs available. As sick as they are of their jobs, they don't quit or risk them because there is no better work to have.


That explains the low unemployment claims report. On the other hand, because the available jobs treat employees poorly, and pay barely more than unemployment or welfare, there are few employees willing to take them. That explains the miniscule jobs report and the low, low labor force participation rate.


Unless pay increases, or employers find a way to make the jobs they have more desirable, these conditions aren't going to change.


Happy Thursday.



Monday, May 30, 2016

Alchemy and Dragon tattoos

Seeking is like traveling. You have to look around while you're moving, or you will miss the whole point.


I took a few hours this past week to pick my head up from my seeking to look around and read some books. Of note were "Influence", "Siddartha", "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo", and today, start to finish in 230 pages, "The Alchemist."


There is much to commend about any one of these books. Together though, they were like a spicy paella for the soul and the brain.


Reading new material excites neurons and opens the senses. Possibilities not previously conceived explode into being. Motivation and desire that may have sat collecting the stiffness of apathy springs up and says "Let's do it!"


Not a day goes by that I do not see the psychological clicks and whirrs described in Influence. My time next to a river nearly every day reminds me of Siddartha's view of the never ending nature of life, the universe and everything. In my practice the savagery and the inscrutable nature of people reflects right back to the sadistic and self serving characters in Dragon Tattoo. Finally, the crystal merchant in The Alchemist looked up at me today from the pages of the book and said "I am you. Is that enough?"


My personal legend has yet to be written, but I am on the path. Maktub.


Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Big and small at the same time.

Look down at an ant. It is tiny. Even close up to your face it will be small. Its legs and antennae thinner than hairs. As small as it is, it is to an aphid as you are to it. Gargantuan. Monolithic. To a bacteria an aphid is a skyscraper. And so on.

You may be a 450 pound giant strongman. 6 foot 9 and dwarfing most humans on the planet. But from the top of a 15 story building, your bulk is invisible. Your relative size rendered meaningless. You would be like an ant.

To a toddler child, adults are giant gods. Even so, to any observer, from say 5 miles away, we are all but invisible; unseen even as we walk, drive, love, fight, vote, and otherwise go about living our lives.

All things are this way in this universe; both giant and tiny, all the time, overlapping each state, depending on the observer's perspective.

In this respect we are no different than stars, galaxies and planets. Why would we be? We're all made of the same stuff and in the same place. Gotta love the universe.  Thanks Alan Watts.

Friday, April 22, 2016

Antidepressants = suicide.

 The NY Times reports that the U.S. suicide rate has surged to a 30-year high. A snippet: "particularly among women and middle-age Americans, according to federal data released Friday. The suicide rate for women ages 45-64 increased by 63 percent from 1994 to 2014, while it jumped 43 percent for men in the same age range, according to a National Center for Health Statistics study. The overall suicide rate climbed 24 percent during the period of the study." Hmm.


A 2011 article from the Harvard Medical Journal noted that over a similar period anti-depressant use surged.


The age group and the stupid amount of prescribed "feel good" pills are killing off American adults. It isn't social media or isolation that is killing people, it's self interested doctors earning their pharma bonuses and trips by telling their patients to take a pill to fix their blues. What they should be telling them is to get of the couch, skip the fast food, and for God's sake take a walk now and then.


Nobody can be surprised by this connection. There are warnings with those drugs. They tell users and doctors that suicidal thoughts may result from taking the pills. It's okay though, "they have to put those warnings with the pills", I've heard my doctor say about Cipro, a tendon obliterating antibiotic with a "black label" warning. But he downside risk is too dramatic to be minimized by its probability. All it takes is one in a billion if you're the "one".


The connection is there to see.


The actual side affect warnings should read: "Ingesting this drug occasionally leads to suicide. Not suicidal thoughts, but actual put a gun to your head and pull the trigger bloody-mess suicide."